Saturday, June 4, 2011

Conspiracy Con 2011 - The Live Blog


Dateline: Conspiracy Con, Santa Clara, CA
June 4, 2011 

Ominously, it's raining today. Really raining. Now, heavy rain is an extremely low probability event in Santa Clara in June. And you might be tempted to point to it as evidence of (take your pick):
  1.           Global warming
  2.          The global chemtrail conspiracy
  3.          Project HAARP global weather manipulation conspiracy
Which makes it a perfect note on which to begin live-blogging from Conspiracy Con. That's because it illustrates the predominant fallacies that will be on display for the next 48 hours:

o   Sweeping generalization: It's June and it's raining in Santa Clara. Rain is unusual in June in Santa Clara. Therefore, something unusual is going on.
o   Straw man: Weather manipulation would cause unusual storms. We are having an unusual storm. Therefore the weather is being manipulated.
o   Causal oversimplification: Global warming is the cause of unseasonable weather, rather than a cause.
o   False cause: It's raining. Conspiracy Con is this weekend. Therefore Conspiracy Con caused the rain. 

Actually, the 2010-2011 rainfall year has been – get ready for this – exactly average. And while heavy rain in June is a low-probability event, it's not a zero probability event. In fact, while May 2011 temperatures averaged 7 degrees below normal, so did May 2010 temperatures. And, rainfall for the year at the end of May was slightly below normal.

In other words, today's weather proves exactly…nothing.

So with that note of skepticism, it's time to take a deeper dive into the murky pool that is Conspiracy Con.  

4 comments:

  1. If it's the government and they can control weather I'm going to be pissed. I live in Syracuse, and there's absolutely no reason for us to be up to our asses from October through May.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Marinus VanDer LubbeJune 5, 2011 at 8:35 AM

    Everybody screams about weather manipulation but no one pays attention to the really insidious conspiracy that threatens civilization: math.

    Just consider who's behind it. The Moslem Arabs developed Algebra; Sir Issac Newton, a Freemason and member of the Illuminati, thought up Calculus. Finally, possibly worst of all, the Greeks invented Geometry and Gay sex too, a double whammy to our way of life.

    If there's a clearer connection between Gays, the Illuminati/Freemason axis and Islam I haven't thought it up yet.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I went but wasn't allowed to take pictures of Barbara, the mid-morning speaker but was told they do want publicity. But no pictures? Huh?

    On the way out, I stopped by the vendor/literature room and saw someone wearing a tinfoil hat. I don't know if he was sincere or there to mock the 'Con' and quite frankly, I didn't have the nerve to ask.

    ReplyDelete